United States Securities and Exchange Commission Washington, D.C. 20549 |
FORM 6-K |
Report of Foreign Private Issuer Pursuant to Rule 13a-16 or 15d-16 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 |
For the month of March 2009 |
Aracruz Celulose S.A.
Aracruz Cellulose S.A. (Translation of Registrants name into English) Av. Brigadeiro Faria Lima, 2,2774th floor São Paulo, SP 01452-000, Brazil (Address of principal executive office) |
(Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover of Form 20-F or Form 40-F.)
(Check One) Form 20-F þ Form 40-F o |
(Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(1))
(Check One) Yes o No þ |
(Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(7))
(Check One) Yes o No þ |
(Indicate by check mark whether the registrant by furnishing the information contained in this Form is also thereby furnishing information to the Commission pursuant to Rule 12g3-2(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.)
(Check One) Yes o No þ |
(If Yes is marked, indicate below the file number assigned to the registrant in connection with Rule 12g3-2(b). 82- .)
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY | P.2 | ü Eucalyptus market pulp demand increased by 12%, or 1.3 million MT, in 2008 (2007: +14%, 1.4 million MT). Chemical market pulp demand declined by 1% in the same period. ü Consolidated pulp production reached 3.1 million MT. Veracel's production attained 1.1 million MT, 22% above its original nominal capacity. ü Pulp sales in 2008 totaled 2.9 million MT, down 6% on 2007. Sales volume reached 735,000 MT in the 4Q08, 8% higher than in the 3Q08. ü Annual net revenue stable at $1.9 billion. Adjusted EBITDA of $ 763 million (40% margin). ü The consolidated pulp cash production cost was $227/t in the 4Q08, down 21% ($60/t) in comparison to that of the 3Q08. Veracel's cash production cost was at $171/t. ü Net loss of $1,239 billion in 2008, or $12.0/ADR, mostly caused by the derivative losses. ü Marcos Grodetzky and Evandro Coura were appointed as the companys Chief Financial and Investor Relations Officer and Director of Control and Risk Management, respectively. ü A firm of specialists is assisting Aracruz in improving its Enterprise Risk Management and Control Self-Assessment models. Recent events ü After the elimination of 97% of the derivative exposure, occurred on Nov. 2008, Aracruz reached, last Jan. 19th, an agreement with several banks to the restructuring of the resulting debt, with a nine-year repayment term. ü VCP concluded the negotiations to acquire Aracruzs voting capital from Arapar and Arainvest. VCP will own 84% of Aracruz's voting capital. | ||
GLOBAL PULP MARKET UPDATE | P.4 | |||
PRODUCTION AND SALES | P.5 | |||
INCOME STATEMENT 4Q08 | P.6 | |||
DERIVATIVE TRANSACTIONS | P.10 | |||
CORPORATE GOVERNANCE | P.12 | |||
EBITDA ANALYSIS | P.14 | |||
CAPITAL EXPENDITURE | P.15 | |||
STOCK PERFORMANCE | P.15 | |||
DIVIDENDS | P.16 | |||
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION | P.16 | |||
ECONOMIC & OPERATIONAL DATA | P.28 | |||
Additional information: (55-11) 3301-4131 Marcos Grodetzky - CFO and IRO André Gonçalves - IR Manager Luiz Mauricio Garcia - IR Specialist |
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Email: invest@aracruz.com.br | ||||
Or visit our website at: | ||||
www.aracruz.com.br/ir |
Aracruz Summary | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ million, unless otherwise specified) | 4Q08 | 3Q08 | 4Q07 | 4Q08 vs. 3Q08 | 4Q08 vs. 4Q07 | FY2008 | FY2007 | 2008 vs. 2007 | ||||||||||||||||
Net revenue | 407.8 | 480.9 | 538.7 | (15%) | (24%) | 1,911.3 | 1,883.8 | 1 | % | |||||||||||||||
Adjusted EBITDA (including Veracel) 1 | 132.6 | 189.1 | 250.4 | (30%) | (47%) | 762.9 | 887.0 | (14 | %) | |||||||||||||||
Adjusted EBITDA margin (including Veracel) 1 | 33 | % | 39 | % | 47 | % | (6 p.p.) | (14p.p.) | 40 | % | 47 | % | (7 | p.p.) | ||||||||||
Income (Loss) before taxes, minority interest and equity in the results of affiliated companies |
(1,087.9 | ) | (1,046.0 | ) | 132.4 | - | - | (1,793.0 | ) | 662.0 | - | |||||||||||||
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7.1 | 3.4 | (5.1 | ) | - | - | 34.3 | 41.3 | - | |||||||||||||||
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(165.3 | ) | (467.4 | ) | 36.2 | - | - | (524.1 | ) | 156.0 | - | |||||||||||||
Net Income (Loss) | (881.0 | ) | (545.9 | ) | 94.7 | - | - | (1,238.7 | ) | 422.1 | - | |||||||||||||
Earnings (Loss) per ADR 3 (US$) | (8.55 | ) | (5.30 | ) | 0.92 | - | - | (12.02 | ) | 4.10 | - | |||||||||||||
Adjusted pulp sales volume 2 ('000 tons) | 735 | 679 | 843 | 8% | (13%) | 2,917 | 3,104 | (6 | %) | |||||||||||||||
Paper sales volume ('000 tons) | 16 | 12 | 15 | 33% | 7% | 57 | 59 | (3 | %) | |||||||||||||||
Pulp production volume (including Veracel) ('000 tons) | 714 | 810 | 794 | (12%) | (10%) | 3,106 | 3,095 | 0.4 | % | |||||||||||||||
Total debt (including Veracel) | 4,147.2 | 2,269.7 | 1,748.0 | 83% | 137% | - | - | - | ||||||||||||||||
Net debt (including Veracel) | 3,715.3 | 1,667.9 | 1,250.9 | 123% | 197% | - | - | - | ||||||||||||||||
1 See page 24 for discussion of non-GAAP measurements used in this press release. 2 Aracruz sales plus 50% of Veracel's sales to non-affiliated parties (see breakdown on page 5). 3 ADR = American Depositary Receipts. |
Executive Summary |
The year 2008 was a very challenging one for Aracruz, marked by the strong volatility in the global financial system and the worldwide downturn in demand for commodities. Until the middle of the year, market conditions remained tight, with global chemical market pulp shipments increasing by 5%, compared to the first half of 2007. In the same period, Eucalyptus pulp shipments increased in almost all regions, up 20% on the same period of 2007, with the main focus on Chinese demand (up 55% on 2007). As a result, the company announced two price increases for the North American and European markets and three price increases for the Asian market. The Eucalyptus pulp price in the European market reached $840/t in April, the highest level since 2001. The increasing defaults in sub-prime mortgages led to the deterioration of several U.S. credit institutions. The global financial system changed, mainly due to a lack of confidence, leading to very limited access to credit lines and severely affecting the market's liquidity. The increased perception of risk in the financial markets was intensified as from the 3Q08, especially after Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy, with signs of reduced global growth, reflected in declining demand for commodities, including market pulp. Indicators for the third quarter of 2008 revealed a slowing of economic activity, with negative GDP figures for the U.S. (-0.1%), the European Union (-0.2%) and Japan (-0.1%), in comparison with those of the second quarter. As a result of the reduced market pulp demand, eucalyptus pulp prices to the European market slipped from $840/t to $600/t - See the "Global Pulp Market Update" section on page 4. As from September, amid the effects of international systemic crisis, the Brazilian currency saw a sharp devaluation against the dollar, strongly affecting the financial results through derivatives. In early November 2008, the company announced that it had eliminated 97% of its exposure to derivatives, resulting in a financial loss of $ 2.13 billion ("fair value"). The group of banking creditors showed their express agreement to the minimal terms put forward by Aracruz for the restructuring of the derivatives debt. Accordingly, the $2.13 billion (fair value) derivative losses and approximately US$ 500 million, representing the company's pre-existing debt towards certain of the banks, were included in the negotiations and transformed into a long-term debt with nine-year repayment term. Based on Aracruz's distinct operational fundamentals and the opportunities of synergies, on January 20th, Votorantim Group, through Votorantim Celulose e Papel (VCP), reported it has concluded negotiations with members of the Lorentzen, Moreira Salles and Almeida Braga families (Arapar Group) to acquire approximately 28% of the voting stock of Aracruz Celulose for R$ 2.71 billion. Safra family exercised its tag along rights, on March 5th, selling their voting stake at Aracruz of 28%. Upon such closing VCP will own, directly or indirectly, 84% of Aracruzs voting capital. Regarding the Companys operational performance, total pulp production of 3.1 million MT was in line with 2007 levels. Despite having an increased nominal capacity in 2008, following completion of the Barra do Riacho units optimization project, pulp production was affected by some production losses in the 1Q08 and 2Q08, as well as the market-related downtimes taken in the second half of 2008. The production target for 2009 is 3.2 million MT, 3% below the current nominal capacity of 3.3 million MT, due to the lower demand expectations for this year. Veracel ran at 22% above its original nominal capacity, producing 1.1million MT in 2008 (Aracruz is entitled to 50% of Veracels production), at the world's historically lowest cash production cost (4Q08: $171/t; 2008: $200/t). Pulp sales in 2008 amounted to 2.9 million MT, 6% lower than in the previous year. The pulp sales volume in the fourth quarter, of 735,000 tons, was 13% lower than that of the same period of 2007 and 8% higher than that of the 3Q08. The commitments in relation to the companys long-term customer base, along with the higher proportion of dealings with the tissue segment, which represents 60% of Aracruz's total pulp sales, helped to better overcome the lower demand observed in all markets, since the tissue business is less sensitive to economic cycles than other pulp consumers. ARACRUZ RESULTS - FOURTH QUARTER 2008 2 |
The average annual net pulp price in 2008 was 7% higher than that of the previous year. Pulp prices started to decline in September, following a consistently upward trend since 2002. In the 4Q08, the average net pulp price decreased by 22%, or $152/ton, in relation to the 3Q08. The appreciation of the average exchange rate and the increased cost of raw materials led to a higher cash production cost in 2008, which was the main reason for the 19% increase in the cost of sales per ton in relation to 2007. The cash production cost in R$ was 6% higher than in the previous year, excluding the exchange rate effect, which was in line with Brazilian inflation, despite the well above average increase in the cost of certain raw materials. Looking ahead, the cash production cost will tend to benefit from the depreciation of the real, since about 75% of Aracruz's cash production cost is linked to the local currency. The cash production cost for the 4Q08, at $227/ton, was 21% lower ($60/t) than that of the previous quarter, mainly due to the Brazilian currencys devaluation against the US$ and the cost reduction program, which included the downtime taken at Fiberlines "A" and "C". The company has managed to revise some of its freight contracts, due to the lower demand for commodities worldwide. The decrease in oil prices and the renegotiating of some of the company's freight contracts has reduced the freight cost per ton by 10%, on a quarterly basis. The adjusted EBITDA in 2008 was $763 million (a 40% margin), $124 million below the figure for 2007, mainly due to the negative impact of the increased cost of raw materials on the cost of goods sold, on a per ton basis, the higher freight costs, and the lower sales volume, which is largely explained by the demand slowdown, partially offset by the higher net pulp price. In the 4Q08, the adjusted EBITDA totaled $133 million, equivalent to a 33% margin (3Q08: 39%), mainly due to the lower average net pulp prices (-22%) and the impact of the cash production cost of the 3Q08 in the cost of goods sold (COGS) of the 4Q08 (inventories turnover effect). The company's cash position as at December 31, 2008 was $432 million, of which 85% was in local currency instruments. The total debt, including the 50% share in Veracel, was $4.147 million, with an average debt maturity profile on that same date of 55 months. Due to the factors described above, the net income for the year showed a loss of $1,239 million, or $12.0/ADR. ARACRUZ RESULTS - FOURTH QUARTER 2008 3 |
Global pulp market update |
The global economy is facing its worst crisis in 60 years. The loss of confidence that has spread through the market and frozen credit availability has left global economic activity stalled, thus hurting investors, companies and consumers. With reduced demand across the board, the pulp & paper industry has suffered along with all other commodity sectors. Paper consumption and production in the developed nations saw a bigger drop during the 4Q08 than in any other peace-time quarter in history. The declines are particularly drastic in newsprint and printing & writing papers. World printing & writing demand fell by 12% in December, when compared to the same period of 2007. US shipments of printing & writing papers were down by more than 20%, while in Europe the decline was over 3%. In packaging, the demand during the early part of 2008 was still firm, but the 2nd half has been increasingly difficult. December containerboard production was down by nearly 20% from the previous year in the US, while in China it is the worst downturn in the past decade, with nearly 70,000 small and medium-sized companies going out of business, according to government data. With demand falling at this pace and inventories accumulating, maintenance downtime and more permanent closures will be necessary on the paper side. |
In tissue papers, the volume losses were less critical. This segment has shown itself to be historically less elastic in regard to economic volatility, largely due to consistent growth in the consumption of toilet paper. That is not to say that the demand will not feel any impact from the crisis. It is expected that the figures will show growth between 3.2 and 3.4% in 2008, in relation to the previous year, which is lower than the recent historical average of 4% a year. In 2009, despite the falling demand for commodities and competition over lower quality products, the growth in this segment should be just slightly under 3%, according to estimates by RISI. With major volume losses in paper and paperboard production, reaching nearly 9 million tons in Europe and North America, it is no surprise that market pulp shipments plummeted in the 4Q08. These shipments were already weak through the 3rd quarter, but during the 4Q08 the situation worsened further. The respective 9.5% and 12% declines in shipments in October and November, in comparison with the same period of last year, reported earlier by the PPPC, were followed by a smaller 4.7% loss in December. On a year-to-date basis, the cumulative market pulp shipments registered only a fairly modest 0.9% loss, thanks to the good volume growth through most of the first half of the year. ARACRUZ RESULTS - FOURTH QUARTER 2008 4 |
Even more significantly, pulp shipments have been negatively affected by the inability of some sellers to obtain credit insurance for certain accounts, thereby causing them sales losses. Financing is very restricted, and several companies are unable to access the credit markets. Pulp producers have tried to curtail production, in order to better match demand, but even the market related downtime introduced by World-20 producers and others did not prevent stocks from expanding in 2008. World producers inventories closed December at the level of 46 days of supply, compared to 29 days in the same period of 2007. |
As the world economy continues to slow down, pulp suppliers will have to take even more downtime than that already announced. Market analysis suggests that this downtime will have to occur through market related idle capacity or permanent closures, in order to restore equilibrium to the market. With diminishing shipment volumes and rising producer inventories, the price structure has continued to be affected, falling by more than US$ 300/t in some regions during the 4Q08. Even if China continues to grow, the decline in its growth rate will be greater than that of most other countries, meaning that the paper industry will suffer, since China has generated most of the worlds paper consumption growth in recent years. The pulp & paper industry performance reflects the economy in general. The most common perception is that the US, with the most sizeable stimulus package, will get out of the recession by mid/late 2009, thus contributing to stabilization and growth in other regions. This scenario, coupled with further cuts in existing capacity and the postponement/cancellation of new capacity, should halt the deterioration of the supply/demand balance and could even trigger a better outlook still in 2009.
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Production and Sales |
Aracruz pulp production, without the 50% of Veracel, totaled 570,000 tons in the fourth quarter of 2008, compared to 670,000 tons in the 3Q08 and 651,000 tons in the 4Q07. This reduction was mainly due to the maintenance downtime taken at Fiberlines "A" and "C" at the Barra do Riacho unit. During the fourth quarter, Veracel Celulose S.A. (50% owned by Aracruz) produced 288,000 tons of pulp, of which 170,000 tons were sold to Aracruz. In 2008, Veracels pulp production totaled 1,099,000 tons, respectively 5% and 22% above the 2007 production level and the plant's original nominal capacity. ARACRUZ RESULTS - FOURTH QUARTER 2008 5 |
At the Guaíba unit, paper production in the quarter totaled 16,000 tons, consuming approximately 13,000 tons of the pulp produced. Paper inventories were at 1,000 tons at the end of December 2008, while paper sales in the fourth quarter of 2008 totaled 16,000 tons. Aracruz pulp sales totaled 735,000 tons in the fourth quarter, with 581,000 tons of the pulp being produced internally, at the Barra do Riacho and Guaíba units, and 154,000 tons being supplied by Veracel and resold in the market by Aracruz. |