NEW YORK (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) |
001-00082 (Commission File Number) |
13-1808503 (IRS Employer Identification No.) |
þ | Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) | |
o | Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) | |
o | Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) | |
o | Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) |
As disclosed in the Opinions of Phelps Dodges Financial Advisors section of the joint proxy
statement/prospectus, Citigroup Global Markets Inc., or Citigroup, and Morgan Stanley & Co.
Incorporated, or Morgan Stanley, performed joint financial analyses in connection with rendering
their respective fairness opinions. Citigroup and Morgan Stanley, in consultation with management
of Phelps Dodge, determined that it would be most efficient for them to perform joint financial
analyses because Citigroup and Morgan Stanley expected to utilize much of the same data and similar
analyses in the course of rendering their fairness opinions. In addition, the types of financial
analyses to be performed were considered by both Citigroup and Morgan Stanley to be customary in
considering transactions in the mining industry. |
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As disclosed in the Opinions of Phelps Dodges Financial Advisors section of the joint proxy
statement/prospectus, Citigroup and Morgan Stanley reviewed publicly available price target
estimates for Phelps Dodge published by Wall Street equity research analysts. Set forth below are
the firms with which such analysts are affiliated and the applicable price targets published by
Bloomberg as of November 16, 2006: |
Firm | Price Target | |||
UBS |
$ | 118.00 | ||
Canaccord Adams |
120.00 | |||
Deutsche Bank |
110.00 | |||
RBC Capital Markets |
110.00 | |||
Credit Suisse |
115.00 | |||
BMO Capital Markets |
120.00 | |||
Macquarie Research |
107.00 | |||
Stifel Nicolaus |
120.00 | |||
Desjardins Securities |
126.55 |
Firm | Price Target | |||
Prudential Equity |
170.00 | |||
CIBC World Markets |
125.00 | |||
Goldman Sachs |
105.00 |
Citigroup and Morgan Stanley also noted that the median I/B/E/S consensus price target for Phelps
Dodge was approximately $120. |
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As disclosed in the Opinions of Phelps Dodges Financial Advisors section of the joint proxy
statement/prospectus, Citigroup and Morgan Stanley reviewed certain financial information for
Phelps Dodge on a stand-alone basis and compared it to corresponding financial information, ratios
and public market multiples for certain publicly traded copper companies. In arriving at the
comparable companies considered for the purpose of this analysis, Citigroup and Morgan Stanley
considered information relating to a broad universe of publicly traded metals and mining companies,
which included publicly traded copper companies. In some instances the publicly traded metals and
mining companies that were not copper companies had greater market multiples than the publicly
traded copper companies. Citigroup and Morgan Stanley included only the publicly traded copper
companies listed below for purposes of its analysis because they considered these companies to be
most comparable to Phelps Dodge. Set forth below is a tabular summary of multiples of firm value
to estimated 2007 EBITDA and share price to estimated 2007 EPS that were considered in connection
with the Comparable Companies Analysis conducted by Citigroup and Morgan Stanley: |
Comparable Company | FV/2007 EBITDA | Price/2007 EPS | ||||||
Phelps Dodge (pre-transaction) |
2.9x | 5.9x | ||||||
Antofagasta plc |
4.0x | 8.2x | ||||||
Aur Resources Inc. |
2.6x | 5.9x | ||||||
First Quantum Minerals Ltd. |
2.8x | 4.9x | ||||||
Inmet Mining Corporation |
3.0x | 5.5x | ||||||
Kazakhmys plc |
4.0x | 7.4x | ||||||
Quadra Mining Ltd. |
1.4x | 2.5x | ||||||
Southern Copper Corporation |
4.1x | 6.6x |
As disclosed in the Opinions of Phelps Dodges Financial Advisors section of the joint proxy
statement/prospectus, Citigroup and Morgan Stanley conducted a net asset value (or NAV) analysis of
Phelps Dodge and Freeport-McMoRan using cash flow and discount rate estimates provided by Phelps
Dodge for the relevant periods. The cash flow estimates were prepared based on six different
commodity pricing cases for copper, gold and molybdenum set forth in the joint proxy
statement/prospectus. Five of the cases (Case 1, Case 2, Case 4, Case 5 and Case 6) reflected a
range of possible price scenarios that were provided to Citigroup and Morgan Stanley by Phelps
Dodge management, with the remaining case (Case 3) being derived from publicly available research
and analysts estimates. Management of Phelps Dodge advised Citigroup and Morgan Stanley that, in
managements view, of the various cases, the price assumptions set forth in Case 2 reflected the
most likely case. Case 5 was based in part upon forward prices of copper on the New York
Mercantile Exchange as of October 8, 2006, and Cases 1,4 and 6 illustrated the NAV under a range of
possible metals price scenarios. |
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The value determined by the NAV analysis is the summation of the present value of each
operating, development, exploration and financial asset, the individual values of which are based
on cash flow and discount rate estimates. For purposes of the NAV analysis, the cash flows were
prepared based on the six different cases set forth in the joint proxy statement/prospectus for
price assumptions for copper, gold and molybdenum. |
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As disclosed in the Opinions of Phelps Dodges Financial Advisors section of the joint proxy
statement/prospectus, Citigroup and Morgan Stanley conducted precedent transaction analyses. These
analyses included a precedent premium analysis in which they analyzed implied purchase price
premiums paid in certain precedent transactions as well as a precedent NAV analysis in which they
calculated the purchase price in such transactions as a multiple of the target companys NAV.
Citigroup and Morgan Stanley selected the precedent transactions in each of these analyses because
they determined that such transactions were reasonably comparable to the merger and because there
was information relevant to the applicable analysis publicly available. |
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In addition to the analyses disclosed in the Opinions of Phelps Dodges Financial Advisors
section of the joint proxy statement/prospectus, Citigroup and Morgan Stanley conducted a pro forma
combination analysis which examined the impact of the merger on certain financial and operational
aspects. The pro forma combination analysis was presented to the Board of Directors of Phelps
Dodge solely for information purposes and was not one of the analyses considered by Citigroup and
Morgan Stanley in rendering their respective opinions. The pro forma combination analysis analyzed
the pro forma accretion/dilution impact of the merger to Freeport-McMoRans 2007 and 2008 estimated
earnings per share (or EPS) and cash flow per share (or CFPS) for each of the six commodity pricing
cases described in the joint proxy statement/prospectus. CFPS was determined by dividing net
income plus depreciation, depletion and amortization by fully diluted shares outstanding. Such
analysis was based upon estimates provided by Phelps Dodge and Freeport-McMoRan and assumed
achievement of $75 million in annual pretax synergies. The pro forma combination
accretion/dilution analysis showed a range of accretion for 2007 EPS from 74.7% to 75.5%, a range
for 2008 EPS from dilution of 32.1% to accretion of 57.4%, a range of accretion for 2007 CFPS from
94.3% to 106.9% and a range of accretion for 2008 CFPS from 27.7% to 76.2%.1 The
results of this analysis for 2008 were highly sensitive to the relative changes in the assumed
future prices of copper, gold and molybdenum in the various cases. |
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As disclosed in the Opinions of Phelps Dodges Financial Advisors section of the joint proxy
statement/prospectus, pursuant to the terms of engagement letters between Phelps Dodge and each of
Citigroup and Morgan Stanley, Phelps Dodge has agreed to pay each of Citigroup and Morgan Stanley a
transaction fee upon consummation of the merger equal to 0.15% of the aggregate value of the merger
consideration and Phelps Dodge indebtedness for borrowed money or guarantees thereof outstanding as
of the closing date of the merger or directly or indirectly |
1 | The results for Case 1 were not meaningful due to negative EPS or CFPS for either standalone Freeport-McMoRan or the combined company. |
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assumed, refinanced, extinguished or
consolidated upon consummation of the merger. These fees were determined through arms length negotiation between Phelps Dodge and each of Citigroup
and Morgan Stanley. Phelps Dodge believes that these fees are consistent with financial advisory
fees paid in comparable transactions. The actual dollar amount of the transaction fees payable to
each of Citigroup and Morgan Stanley will not be determined until the consummation of the merger. |
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PHELPS DODGE CORPORATION (Registrant) |
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By: | /s/ S. David Colton | |||
Name: | S. David Colton | |||
Title: | Senior Vice President and General Counsel | |||
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