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Why Redfin (RDFN) Shares Are Falling Today

RDFN Cover Image

What Happened?

Shares of real estate technology company Redfin (NASDAQ:RDFN) fell 27.6% in the afternoon session after the company reported weak third-quarter earnings, which fell short of Wall Street's expectations. The number of brokerage transactions missed, and EBITDA fell short of Wall Street's estimates. The challenging operating environment, characterized by fluctuating mortgage rates and aggressive competitor ad spending, further weakened the performance. As a result, EBITDA guidance came in below expectations, throwing some cold water on the solid revenue guide. Overall, this was a weaker quarter.

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What The Market Is Telling Us

Redfin’s shares are extremely volatile and have had 69 moves greater than 5% over the last year. But moves this big are rare even for Redfin and indicate this news significantly impacted the market’s perception of the business. 

The biggest move we wrote about over the last year was 2 months ago when the stock gained 10.4% on the news that B. Riley Securities analyst Naved Khan upgraded the stock's rating from Neutral to Buy. The analyst added, "While buy-side agent commissions may get pressured industry-wide, we find Redfin well-positioned for volume gains."

Redfin is down 2.5% since the beginning of the year, and at $9.65 per share, it is trading 33.2% below its 52-week high of $14.45 from September 2024. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Redfin’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $477.96.

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