Sign In  |  Register  |  About Sunnyvale  |  Contact Us

Sunnyvale, CA
September 01, 2020 10:10am
7-Day Forecast | Traffic
  • Search Hotels in Sunnyvale

  • CHECK-IN:
  • CHECK-OUT:
  • ROOMS:

Bearishness, begone!

The returns of my Trend Asset Allocation Model have been strong. Based on an "out of sample" record of signals from 2013 and a simulated portfolio that varies up to +/- 20% from a 60/40 benchmark, the model portfolio has managed to achieve equity-like returns with 60/40-like risk. Performance has also been consistently positive in the shorter time frames (to July 26, 2022).
  • 1 year: Model portfolio -8.1% vs. 60/40 -9.8%
  • 2 years: Model portfolio 7.1% vs. 60/40 4.2%
  • 3 years: Model portfolio 10.2% vs. 60/40 7.1%
  • 5 years: Model portfolio 10.9% vs. 60/40 7.8%
   
The Trend Model turned neutral from bullish in January 2022 and turned bearish in March. Amidst all the gloom about a global recession, it's time to become more constructive on equities. The signal has been upgraded to neutral from bearish.
Here's why.

The full post can be found here.
Data & News supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Stock quotes supplied by Barchart
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms and Conditions.
 
 
Copyright © 2010-2020 Sunnyvale.com & California Media Partners, LLC. All rights reserved.